Election Day 2009. One year after Barack Obama was elected president, and everybody’s going to be watching three elections tomorrow – in New York, New Jersey, and Virginia – to see what it means for Obama’s political power.
Which is, let’s face it, way, way overblown.
In New York. Even if conservative Republican Doug Hoffman wins. The story is not that a Republican wins in a long-time Republican congressional district. The story is that moderate Republicans, no matter what district they run in, are no longer welcome in the Republican Party.
In Virginia. Even if Republican Jim McDonnell wins. The story is not that a Republican wins in a long-time red state. The story is two-fold. One, that he only won by running as a moderate, Rockefeller Republican. And, two, that Democrats nominated a weak candidate who ran a lackluster campaign.
In New Jersey. Even if Republican Chris Christie wins. The story is not even that a Republican wins in a blue state. The story is that Jon Corzine, as smart as he is, raised taxes, struggled with a tough economy, and ended up with lousy approval ratings that not even Barack Obama could overcome.
So, my outlook for Democrats today. Hope for the best, and be prepared for the worst. But just don’t read too much into it.
That’s my parting shot for today.