OK, all three days of oral arguments are over. The Supreme Court has heard the Obama administration argue why the Affordable Care Act is constitutional and the opposition argue why it’s not.
So how’s the court going to rule? Anybody who tells you the answer to that question doesn’t know what they’re talking about. And doesn’t understand how the court works.
Look, given their history, we can probably conclude that Scalia, Thomas, and Alito will vote against it. And that Breyer, Sotomayor, Kagan, and Ginsburg will vote for it. Roberts and Kennedy? Who knows?
The big question is: How will the court’s ruling impact the 2012 election?
Either way, I believe, is good for Obama. Certainly, if Obamacare is upheld by the court, it’s a huge victory for the president. Justifies the most important achievement of his presidency so far.
But the opposite ruling could also help Obama, because it will outrage Democrats and labor unions and spur them to work even harder for Obama’s re-election.
For now, as frustrating as it is, we’ll have to wait till June to find out.
That’s my parting shot for today.